Appendix: Methodological Notes

UNITED STATES AND CANADIAN GREENHOUSE GAS POLLUTION

United States = 5.83 billion metric tons CO2e in 2019

Canada = 727.43 million metric tons CO2e in 2019

————————————————————–

Total = 6.56 billion metric tons CO2e in 201922

 

TOTAL GREENHOUSE GAS POLLUTION IMPACT OF FOSSIL FUEL INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS

Our objective is to calculate the scale of the greenhouse gas pollution represented by fossil fuel infrastructure that is facing or has faced Indigenous resistance. Our first assumption is that each project is additional to all other projects where a calculation is being made, similar to the assumption made for gas pipelines in Oil Change International’s Gas Pipeline Climate Methodology.23

Our second assumption is that all calculations made in past years are still accurate. This is likely true for canceled projects, assuming the calculation was relatively near cancellation. This may be less accurate for projects still being fought, if any circumstances of the project — especially project capacity — have changed significantly, although we are not aware of any such major Our third assumption is that the calculation methodology employed for projects that were not directly evaluated by Oil Change International is relatively similar to Oil Change’s methodology; not all outside parties made their methodology available for review.

We do not calculate the impact of fossil fuel storage projects such as Alton Gas — which would have operating emissions in addition to stored fuel — nor extraction basins that are covered by multiple infrastructure projects subject to a mix of wins and losses, and that have speculative future emissions depending on how they are or are not exploited. We confine calculations to pipelines, mines, and the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, since the Refuge is not connected to any pipelines under consideration and has not been affected by previous fossil fuel infrastructure development.

The designations of Won / Fight / Operating are subjective in some cases, such as the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and Dakota Access Pipeline, due to the difficulty of determining when a project is truly defeated and ongoing resistance to operating projects. These designations were made in consultation between the Indigenous Environmental Network, Oil Change International, and the frontline resisters involved in directly opposing the fossil fuel projects.

Where a greenhouse gas pollution calculation was not available, we conducted additional calculations. For gas pipelines, emissions were calculated using Oil Change International’s Gas Pipeline Climate Methodology.24 For oil pipelines, we used emissions factors developed from data provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.25 Greenhouse gas pollution from compressor stations and the extraction, processing, and exploration of fossil fuels were not calculated due to a lack of comprehensive information on compression and their likely small contribution to the total.

Projects and areas included in calculation


 

 

Project

 

 

Status

Million Metric Tons Annual CO2e Pollution

 

 

Source

 

Arctic National Wildlife Refuge

 

Won

 

61

Author calculation from americanprogress.org/issues/green/ news/2019/11/20/477495/trumps-energy-policies-put-alaska- climate-crosshairs
Atlantic Coast Gas PipelineWon67priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2019/03/ACP-Risk-Upon-Risk.pdf

 

Energy East Oil Pipeline

 

Won

 

236

priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2017/01/climate_on_the_line_ FINAL-OCI.pdf
Jordan Cove LNG Export Terminal & Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline

 

Won

 

37

 

priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2018/01/JCEP_GHG_Final- Screen.pdf

Keystone XL Oil PipelineWon180priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2017/10/In_the_pipeline.pdf

 

Northern Gateway Oil Pipeline

 

Won

 

102

iaac-aeic.gc.ca/050/documents_staticpost/ cearref_21799/83858/Greenhouse_Gas_Emission_Report.pdf

 

Pierre River Tar Sands Mine

 

Won

 

42

Author calculation from priceofoil.org/2015/02/24/oil-giant-shell- shelves-dirty-tar-sands-mine/
Teck Frontier Tar Sands Oil Mine

 

Won

 

54

ricochet.media/fr/2948/la-gigantesque-mine-petroliere-frontier- de-teck-engendrera-12-fois-plus-de-ges-quannonce

 

Coastal GasLink Pipeline

 

Fight

 

125

Author calculation, based on 3 billion cubic feet per day, from banktrack.org/project/coastal_gaslink_pipeline

 

Dakota Access Oil Pipeline

 

Fight

 

101

priceofoil.org/2016/09/12/the-dakota-access-pipeline-will-lock- in-the-emissions-of-30-coal-plants

 

Line 3 Oil Pipeline Expansion

 

Fight

 

175

Author calculation from priceofoil.org/2020/01/29/line-3-climate- impact/
Mountain Valley Gas Pipeline (Mainline only)

 

Fight

 

89

priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2017/02/mountain_valley_pipe_ web_final_v1.pdf
Rio Grande LNG Export Terminal & Rio Bravo Gas Pipeline

 

Fight

 

188

Author calculation from sierraclub.org/press-releases/2019/04/ ferc-releases-environmental-review-proposed-rio-grande-lng- fracked-gas-export

 

Trans Mountain Extension Oil Pipeline

 

Fight

 

130

priceofoil.org/2019/06/18/response-canada-cant-declare-a- climate-emergency-and-build-the-trans-mountain-tar-sands- pipeline-too
Bayou Bridge PipelineOperating74Author calculation from bayoubridge.com/About.html
Permian Highway Gas PipelineOperating88Author calculation from phpproject.com/faqs

 

Trans-Pecos Gas Pipeline

 

Operating

 

58

Author calculation from tppetconnect.energytransfer.com/ipost/ TPP/capacity/design-capacity-for-intrastates
Total, Won 779 
Total, Fights 808 
Total, Won & Fights 1,587 

 

Contested projects and areas not included in calculation

Alton Gas Pipeline & Storage Facility

Canadian Tar Sands

Chaco Canyon and San Juan Basin

Permian Basin

 

Comparison to Coal Plants and Passenger Vehicles

These values were determined using the Environmental Protection Agency calculator.26

 

SOURCES

Unless otherwise noted, all websites were accessed on May 1, 2021.

Indigenous Environmental Network

PO Box 485

Bemidji, MN 56619 www.ienearth.org

Oil Change International

714 G Street SE, Suite 202

Washington, DC 20003 www.priceofoil.org