Contents:
Global Warming Forces Inuits to Abandon Swamped Homes
Scientists Warn-1999 Fifth Warmest Year
Borneo Rain Forest On Verge Of Total Destruction
China Disasters Century's Deadliest
El Nino Affecting Carbon Dioxide
Vietnam Floods Have Claimed 700 Lives
Record-Strength Cyclone Lashes Australian Coast

The Independent (UK)
September 20, 2002
by Joseph Verrengia in Shishmaref, Alaska
http://www.independent.co.uk/story.jsp?story=334857
Global Warming Forces Inuits to Abandon Swamped Homes
Stripped to his shirt sleeves on a desolate Arctic beach, the hunter
gazes over his disappearing world.
The sun glitters on waves surrounding his island village. The town sits
amid the ruins of dugouts his ancestors chipped from the permafrost when
Pharaohs were building pyramids in the hot sands of Egypt.
Thousands of years ago, nomads chased caribou here across a now-lost
land connection from Siberia, 100 miles away. Scientists believe those
nomads became the first Americans. Now their descendants are about to
become global warming refugees. The village is being swallowed by the
sea.
"We have no room left here," says 43-year-old Tony Weyiouanna. "I have
to think about my grandchildren. We need to move."
Weather dictates survival in the Arctic and native Alaskans are alarmed
by a noticeable warming trend. Average temperatures have risen more than
4F (2.2C) since 1971.
This is still a very rustic village. Its forlorn breakwater of sandbags
and rusting vehicles is often breached by storms. Recently, four homes
tumbled into the sea while villagers huddled in the Lutheran church.
Fuel and water tanks teeter just a few strides from the brink. Another
gale or two and the entire island - a half-mile at its widest, 10ft (3m)
at its highest - could be inundated.
Mr Weyiouanna's ancestors simply would have loaded their dogsleds and
mushed inland. But, in modern times, moving a town means Shishmaref's
600 residents must vote.
The US Army Corps of Engineers says the cost of moving will be at least
$100m (£70m). Residents hope the government will pay, although state and
federal officials say no relocation fund exists.
And it is an upheaval many Americans might face in coming decades. In
June, the Bush administration submitted a report to the UN acknowledging
for the first time that climate change is real and unavoidable. In Alaska,
signs of warming are everywhere. Sea ice volume has declined 15 per cent
and thinned from 10ft to 6ft in places. When ice disappears, so do the
staple foods - whale, walrus, seal and waterfowl, even polar bear. Glaciers
are retreating by 15 per cent and losing half their thickness every decade.
Alaskan meltwater accounts for half of the worldwide sea level rise of
7.8in (19.8cm) in the past 100 years.
In nearby Barrow, one morning, rumors of seal and walrus sightings ricochet
through town. Men hustle from offices to haul boats to the water's edge.
Schoolchildren cycle along the beach, cradling rifles. Offshore, the concussion
of what locals call "combat hunting" thumps for hours as the ghostly shadows
of outboard launches swerve between glistening icebergs. Then the real
work has to begin.
In his gravel yard, Eugene Brower unfolds a table padded with layers
of grease-soaked cardboard and duct tape. He is surrounded by four walrus
shot that morning, their whiskered heads still sporting ivory tusks. He
carves out slabs of purple meat.
Then he saws the glistening tan blubber. Each fist-sized chunk - fat,
skin and brown furry hide - is tossed into plastic pails for rendering.
"In this heat it should go fast," Mr Brower explains, his knife never
pausing. "We eat it all. It's good for you. I've got 11 grandkids. I need
to put meat on their tables."
Mr Brower, 56, mops his round face and bristly moustache with his T-shirt.
"When it hit 70 this week, my neighbor bought a fan," he chortles.
His three-year-old adopted son, Andrew, frolics next to a boat Mr Brower
made with sealskins. The skin boat, called an umiaq, should be seaworthy
for a decade. In this heat, it may not last until Andrew's first hunt
in five years' time.
The wisdom the old man shares with Andrew will be different from what
he taught his older sons. "The ice is thinner. The air is warmer," Mr
Brower said. "When you are out on the ice, you can see the steam rising.
And that's something you don't want to see."
Back in Shishmaref, three village women open the Bingo Hall and stretch
the Stars and Stripes across the wall. They tack a sample ballot to the
door.
It reads: "Do you want to relocate the Community of Shishmaref?" To
vote, "Mark an X to the right of Yes or No."
No hanging chads here.
An hour ticks by. Winfred Obruk wanders in. He drops his ballot into
the locked box, tapping the lid twice for emphasis. At 63, he says he
is ready to abandon the only home he's known. "There's nothing else we
can do," he said. "The storms make you feel kind of small. It feels odd
to move, but that's nature."
For a valid referendum, Shishmaref needs 40 per cent of its 341 registered
voters to cast ballots. The village's median age is about 20. Most youths
stay up late hunting, playing video games or cruising the beach on ATVs.
By mid-afternoon, some were rousted to vote. They want to go anywhere,
it seems.
"I went to school on the mainland," said Leona Goodhope, 19, "and when
I came back, my house was gone. They moved it to the other side of the
village, or it would've fallen in."
A new village probably would have indoor plumbing, refuse collection
and upgraded telecommunications for better e-mail and television but not
everyone is eager. Clifford Weyiouanna, 60, pointed to recent improvements
- a school extensions, a tannery, an automated laundry. And what about
the cemetery?
"My mother and grandmother are in there," he said. "This is where they
were born and lived. I think maybe they should stay here."
At 8pm, the election judges hand-count the ballots. Outside, a slightly
impatient crowd is gathered for bingo.
The vote: 161-20. Shishmaref will move. Nobody cheered, nobody smiled.
The island still could be used as a summer fishing camp, said Tony Weyiouanna.
He will co-ordinate relocation.
"We will be putting money into the move," he said, "and not pouring
it into the sea."
The vote means the release of $1m in federal funds to examine the relocation's
impact on potential mainland sites.
And where is the favored spot for the expensive and heart-rending move?
Five miles east.
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Scientists Warn-1999 Fifth Warmest
Year
(London Times, ABC News), 16 December
Internet: http://www.sunday-times.co.uk/news/pages/tim/1999/12/16/timnwsnws01026.html?
2218746
THE 1990s have been the hottest decade of the millennium, British
scientists will confirm today, adding to fears that the globe is
in the grip of man-made global warming.
Phil Jones, of the University of East Anglia, said yesterday:
"Although we do not have instrumental records going back further
than the mid-19th century for global temperatures, analysis of tree
rings, ice cores, corals and historical records indicates that the
1990s were the warmest decade of the millennium." Figures from the
Meteorological Office's Hadley Centre and the university show that
seven of the world's ten warmest years since records began were
in the 1990s and that they include this year.
Dr Jones said that Central England was expected to have been the
warmest this year since observations and records began in 1659.
It is set to beat 1990, the area's previous warmest year, although
that record might be threatened if there is a very cold snap. It
was nevertheless certain that 1999 in Britain and across the globe
would be one of the warmest years ever, which was "further evidence
that global warming is probably happening".
The figures, being released by the World Meteorological Organisation
in Geneva, show that 1999 was the fifth warmest year on record based
on global observations going back to 1860. Temperatures were 0.33C
higher than in 1961-90 and 0.7C higher than those at the turn of
the century.
David Parker, of the Met Office, said yesterday that the fact
that last year was cooler than 1998 was attributable to La Niña,
the aftermath of El Niño, which had a warming effect on the globe.
"The rapid cooling of temperatures in the equatorial Pacific has
contributed to 1999 being significantly cooler than in 1998, the
hottest year on record. This large, natural variability is exactly
what we expect to see superimposed on a long-term warming due to
man-made greenhouse gas emissions," he said.
"Our forecast for 2000 shows a high probability of it being warmer
than 1999 as the cold Pacific slowly warms," Mr Parker said. The
World Meteorological Organisation said that the century was the
warmest of the millennium. It said that the high temperature of
1999 was "remarkable because it occurred despite the typical cooling
influence of the tropical La Niña".
See also-ABC News: http://www.abcnews.go.com/wire/Business/reuters19991215_4281.html

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Borneo Rain Forest On Verge Of Total Destruction
(CNN), December 14, 1999
Internet: http://www.cnn.com/1999/NATURE/12/14/borneo.enn/index.html
A rare tropical rain forest, where reproduction
of the trees is intricately linked to the arrival of the El Niño
weather phenomenon, faces imminent death due to increased logging
and human-intensified climate change.
The loss of the forest, located on the island of
Borneo and regarded as a unique ecosystem, would put a huge dent
in the global economy. Timber exports contribute $8 billion annually
to the Indonesian economy and provide 80 percent of the plywood
used in the United States home building industry.
"Degradation of dipterocarp forests will have repercussions
both in Bornean terrestrial ecosystems and in regional economies
with global implications in as yet unforeseen ways," researchers,
led by ecologist Lisa Curran at the University of Michigan, write
in the Dec. 10 issue of Science. Dipterocarps are the main family
of rain forest canopy trees in Indonesian Borneo. The trees synchronize
their reproduction, called masting, to the onset of the El Niño
Southern Oscillation, which occurs about once every four years.
"Climatic conditions of an El Niño year trigger simultaneous fruiting
in dipterocarps and are essential for regional seed production,"
she said. "It's like Thanksgiving in the forest."
Wild boar, orangutans, parakeets, jungle fowl,
partridges and other animals congregate to stuff themselves. Local
villagers collect baskets of seeds called illipe nuts to sell as
a cash crop. Yet, since so much seed is produced, there is still
enough leftover to germinate and produce a carpet of new seedlings.
The problem, the researchers discovered, is that
intensive logging on the island around the Gunung Palung National
Park over the past decade has reduced seed production from 175 pounds
per acre in 1991 to 16.5 pounds per acre in 1998, even though 1998
was a major El Niño year. According to the research, logging appears
to reduce the local density and biomass of mature trees, reduces
the spatial extent of masting and alters the forest's response to
El Niño by disrupting soil conditions or causing extended drought
stress.
"Even though the park is supposedly off-limits
to logging, the forest is losing the ability to regenerate itself,"
said Curran. Seed predators, who can not find food outside the park,
move inside the park to eat the dipterocarp seeds before they germinate.
In 1998 the scenario worsened when massive forest fires on nearby
logging plantations destroyed an area the size of Costa Rica, brought
pollution and intensified El Niño's drought, killing the few remaining
dipterocarp seedlings.
"It's very sad, but unless the Indonesian government
implements sustainable forestry practices, creates financial incentives
to harvest responsibly and prevents clearing and burning for industrial
plantations, this ecosystem will be unable to recover," said Curran.

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China Disasters Century's Deadliest
New York Times
December 13, 1999
WASHINGTON (AP) -- China experienced three of the century's four
deadliest weather-related disasters, two drought-induced famines
that killed more than 29 million people and a Yangtze River flood
that claimed 3.7 million lives, U.S. weather experts said Monday.
Despite 11,000 deaths in Central America, last year's Hurricane
Mitch does not rank near the top of the century's deadliest incidents.
Looking back over the century, experts of the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration found that famine brought on by drought
generally was deadlier than storms or floods like the Yangtze disaster
of 1931. Most of the famine deaths were in Asia. A 1907 episode
killed more than 24 million Chinese. Also in China, the ``New Famine''
of 1936 killed an estimated 5 million Chinese, and a drought in
1941-2 more than 3 million. NOAA said estimates of the dead from
starvation in Ukraine and the Volga region of Russia, during the
early Soviet years 1921-1922, vary from 250,000 to 5 million. Wind
and a storm surge from a 1970 cyclone in Bangladesh may have killed
as many as half a million.
Climate now is changing faster than ever recorded, said D. James
Baker, who heads the federal agency. The agency projected that the
United States will record its second warmest year on record this
year with an average temperature of 55.7 degrees Fahrenheit, after
a record 56.4 degrees in 1998. Global temperatures are expected
to finish the year as the fifth warmest on record since 1880, the
agency said.
``The new data, the modeling results, and what we know about how
the system works is even stronger in pointing toward the fact that
we are seeing global warming and it is part of the overall climate
change,'' Baker told reporters. NOAA called the United States ``the
tornado capital of the world,'' citing an outbreak that swept down
the Ohio Valley on March 18, 1925, for a record 3 1/2 hours and
killed 695 people Illinois, Missouri and Indiana. More than 200
tornadoes were observed last January, 14 times the average number,
NOAA reported. John Kelly Jr., director of the National Weather
Service, emphasized progress in understanding and forecasting weather
events. ``The Galveston hurricane of 1900 ... struck with little
or no warning,'' Kelly said. ``We knew there was a hurricane somewhere
in the Gulf of Mexico, but at that time our information technology
didn't enable us to discern exactly where it was.
``The hurricane had at least 8,000 fatalities. ... Compare that
with the warnings and the forecasts that were made for (Hurricane)
Floyd as it moved up the East coast this past autumn.''

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El Nino Affecting Carbon Dioxide (New York Times)
New York Times
December 9, 1999
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The periodic El Nino warming of the Pacific
Ocean also reduces the amount of carbon dioxide in the air -- a
chemical some say contributes to global warming -- according to
a study being published in Friday's edition of the journal Science.
In addition, the massive oceanic changes cause a boom and bust cycle
for tiny ocean plants called plankton, which are vital food for
fish, the study says.
A team of researchers led by Francisco Chavez of the Monterey
Bay Aquarium Research Institute found that the 1997-98 El Nino,
and the subsequent ocean cooling called La Nina, had a roller-coaster
effect on the oceanic food chain across a vast swath of the Pacific.
During the El Nino warm episode, the normal upwelling of cold, deep
ocean water was blocked, cutting off the supply of nutrients required
by the tiny algae and sharply reducing their numbers, the study
found.
In past years it was the cutoff of those rising nutrient-rich
waters that tended to be the first sign of an El Nino, because fishermen
would notice a sharp drop in their catch due to the lack of food
for fish and shrimp. That deep water also contains a lot of stored
carbon dioxide which it releases at the surface. By stopping it
from rising the El Nino can be credited with reducing the amount
of that so-called greenhouse gas being added to the atmosphere.
The researchers calculated that 700 million metric tons of carbon
normally released to the atmosphere as carbon dioxide were kept
in the ocean during the year that El Nino conditions dominated the
equatorial Pacific. This is equivalent to half of the United States'
total annual carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning.
A metric ton is 2,205 pounds.
Many environmentalists have become concerned about possibility
that extra carbon dioxide in the air will help trap heat from the
sun, somewhat like a greenhouse, causing global warming. The researchers
reported they were again surprised in mid-1998 when chlorophyll
levels skyrocketed, revealing the largest plankton bloom ever observed
in the equatorial Pacific. They suggested that elevated iron concentrations
in the rising water stimulated this bloom. Iron is an essential
nutrient for plankton growth.
Besides the Monterey Bay institute the team included researchers
from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National
Aeronautics and Space Administration and National Marine Fisheries
Service.

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Vietnam Floods Have Claimed 700 Lives
BBC News, December 11, 1999
Internet: http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/asia-pacific/newsid_559000/559587.stm
The authorities in Vietnam have been delivering emergency food
to thousands of people who have suffered two bouts of severe flooding
in the last month. Farmers in central Vietnam say it is the worst
disaster in living memory, and the country is bracing itself for
still more rain when a tropical depression in the South China sea
hits the southern coastline.
When the flood water came for the second time in a month, many
families climbed on top of their homes, tree-tops and even onto
to electricity pylons to escape the torrent. In a matter of days,
the water rose by several metres and many people had to be rescued
by the military or their neighbours. In one of the worst-hit areas,
Que Lam, many families described seeing their homes being literally
swept away overnight and, with them, all their cooking utensils
and belongings.
For several days they have been sleeping in the open, despite
the cold temperatures, although they have received dry noodles and
rice from the Vietnamese Red Cross. But bringing in relief is not
easy because many areas are only accessible by boat at the best
of times.
As soon as the flood water subsided, villagers started digging
up the sand deposits to unearth the beams and metal sheetings that
once formed their homes. Many farmers have started reconstructing
simple shelters with what they can salvage. But the long-term costs
will be heavy - thousands of people have lost their crops, livestock,
homes, possessions and are already in debt for the seeds they have
bought after the first flood in November.
Villagers in central Vietnam face flooding every year, but say
they have never seen anything like the intensity and scale of the
two floods they have just experienced.

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Record-Strength Cyclone Lashes Australian Coast
(CNN, BBC News), December 15, 1999
Internet: http://europe.cnn.com/1999/WEATHER/12/15/australia.cyclone.02/index.html
PERTH, Australia (CNN) -- The most powerful cyclone ever recorded
in Australia ravaged its northwestern coast Wednesday, forcing hundreds
of evacuations and damaging homes before losing strength later in
the day. There were no reports of deaths or injuries. Cyclone John,
which at its peak had sustained winds of 130 mph and gusts up to
185 mph, moved over land near the tiny community of Whim Creek early
Wednesday with driving rains and winds that caused power outages.
The storm was heading south- southeast. Reporter Tanya Nollan told
CNN she was waiting to hear how the dozen residents of Whim Creek,
about 750 miles north of Perth, fared. The community's telephone
lines were down, and they had taken overnight refuge in a shipping
container that was anchored to the ground with chains and concrete
blocks.
'No one has been through one this big' Two evacuation centers
were established in Karratha. Jim McDougall, assistant manager of
the town's Mercure Inn, said palm fronds had begun to blow off trees
and the rain was coming in horizontally. "No one has been through
one this big. I just hope the roof stays on," he said. "There's
not much you can do, just wait it out." Kevin Richards, a top Karratha
city official, compared the strong winds battering the town to the
sound of "a never-ending freight train." Nollan said she was evacuated
from her home in a low-lying area on Tuesday. She spent the night
at a television studio. She said she was concerned about a storm
surge. She said the cyclone carried piercing winds, and the rain
felt like needles beating into her face. "It was really intense,"
Nollan said.
Storm heading south-southeast
Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Bryan Boase said it was "unequivocally"
the strongest cyclone to hit Australia since the government began
keeping records. "We're looking at winds of almost 300 kilometers
(185 miles) an hour and quite frankly, that's bloody unbelievable,"
he said. The bureau at one point declared the cyclone a Category
5, the most powerful hurricane. Cyclone is the term used for hurricanes
in the Indian Ocean.
Cyclone John lost power as it crossed the coast, and was downgraded
to Category 4 later Wednesday. It was still packing winds of 106
mph. The cyclone forced offshore oil fields and iron ore ports to
close in the remote, mineral-rich Pilbara region. An official with
North Ltd's Robe River iron ore unit said the company had evacuated
its Cape Lambert port. Other mineral firms also shut down.
See also: CYCLONE JOHN LASHES AUSTRALIA (BBC News)
Internet: http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/asia-pacific/newsid_565000/565671.stm
Five miles east.
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